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Opinion: Why agents are more essential than ever

 
 

Affordability concerns mean agents are also educators.

Real estate agents play an undeniable and integral role in today’s housing market. Not just as facilitators of sales and rental transactions but also as educators to their current and future clients. Left to their own devices, most people — particularly renters — view the rental segment and the for-sale market as distinctly different and unrelated entities, with the latter one often perceived as being far out of reach. Rightfully so.

Affordability is a real issue in the United States. The median price for an existing single-family home was $410,200 in June 2023, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). That’s the second-highest since the association started tracking the data. This average price tag quickly jumps in popular states such as California, where it comes in at $744,280, and in Washington State, where a house costs on average $574,114, according to August data from Zillow.

Mortgage rates — which have been well above 7% and approaching 8% this week — are adding to the unaffordability of much of today’s housing stock. 

These market conditions in the for-sale segment have had a real and direct impact on the rental market as both are directly linked. An increasing number of people, especially many of the millions of millennials who are hitting their prime child-rearing years, are priced out of the market and forced to keep renting longer. The average age of first-time homeowners is now 36 with about 35% of the households in U.S. being renter-occupied.

This increasing demand has put further pressure on the rental stock, which has been experiencing severe supply and demand issues. The United States is currently as much as 6.8 million rental units short, with the gap between supply and demand widening every year, according to NAR data. This has driven up prices significantly. Typical asking rents in the U.S. average $2,052, a 3.3% climb as compared with the same time last year, according to Zillow’s data for August. In high-demand metros such as New York, it’s as high as $3,650.

One of the proposed measures to counter these increases and create more affordability for renters is the hotly debated topic of rent control, an idea that first came into existence in the 1920s. The Biden administration has pushed for a potential national-level rent control initiative while cities such as New York are particularly in the spotlight as landlords are pushing the Supreme Court to kill rent stabilization. 

As of 2022, seven states — California, New York, New Jersey, Maryland, Maine, Oregon and Minnesota — and the District of Columbia have localities in which some form of residential rent control is in effect. 

Rent control benefits some tenants with access to controlled rates, primarily older and long-term residents. But rent control has also shown overall mixed results. While intended to make housing more affordable, it can exacerbate issues by reducing investment and supply. Property owners, getting lower returns due to rent controls, often seek ways to convert their properties to other more profitable uses.

In places like California, laws allow owners to evict tenants for personal occupancy or to sell units as condos. Consequently, as the availability of rental properties decreases, market-wide rents increase due to the lower supply. Actions like these tend to favor higher-income individuals, inadvertently promoting gentrification, as observed in San Francisco, contradicting the original aims of rent control.

Ultimately, to create a better supply-demand balance in the U.S., facilitating new construction might be the best answer to the pressures in the rental segment and the affordability issues in this country. California is trying to do just that by making major affordable housing projects across the state easier to commence by exempting them from potential lawsuits filed under the California Environmental Quality Act, extensive public hearings and other forms of opposition from local governments. Easing restrictive zoning rules that can reduce the supply of land available for new housing would also be additive. 

There is some hope for more balance to come. Housing construction reached a 50-year high, with this year alone witnessing the completion of more than 460,000 units. Within the past three years, over a million new dwellings have been erected, marking a historic high. And this increase has had an almost immediate affect on renters who are taking advantage of the added choices. Those staying put and renewing their leases — often out of necessity — dropped to 60.5% during this year’s peak rental season compared with 63.6% last year. 

And that is where agents can step in, educate renters on their increased choices, explaining market dynamics and ultimately becoming educators and advocates as they navigate their housing journey.

Learn more at Housingwire.com

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Rent Now, Buy Never? The Cities Where Paying Cheap Rent Makes More Sense Than Buying a Home

 
 

For many first-time homebuyers, making the gigantic leap from paying a landlord every month to making a mortgage payment is the difference between shelling out for just another bill—and making a true investment in their future. It can be a life-changer.

But making that leap has gotten harder as home prices and mortgage rates have skyrocketed. The Realtor.com® annual Rent vs. Buy analysis shows just how difficult it’s become for many first-time homebuyers across the country. That’s why we dug into the numbers to find the places where renters can save a few bucks (and we do mean a few) by buying, and where it’s still cheaper to remain a renter.

Spoiler alert: There aren’t many places left where buyers will have lower monthly mortgage payments than what they would have paid renting. It was cheaper to buy rather than rent in just three of the 50 largest metropolitan areas. In all the rest, residents could save more by renting. So we calculated how much more, and what places offer renters the best deals versus buying.

Higher mortgage rates, above 7%, pushed up the monthly bills of homeowners to more than $2,860 in August, including estimated property taxes and insurance costs. Meanwhile, the median monthly rent is about $1,750 in the 50 largest metropolitan areas.

So renters looking at the prospect of purchasing are facing monthly bills totaling $1,100 more—and that’s after saving tens of thousands of dollars for a down payment and closing costs.

In addition to the effect of the high home purchase cost, rents have come down in the past year, widening the gap between buying and renting, notes Realtor.com economist Jiayi Xu.

“In August 2023, the median asking rent for two-bedroom units dropped -0.7%, marking the fourth consecutive month of annual declines,” Xu wrote in her detailed report on renting versus buying.

Buying a home has always been difficult in the nation's priciest housing markets, particularly areas in the West that have experienced the biggest price growth. But as rental prices have simultaneously dropped in many of these markets, the scales may tilt toward renters putting off homeownership longer.

To calculate whether it's cheaper to rent or buy, we used the August 2023 median rental prices for studio, one-bed, and two-bed homes, weighted by the number of listings, in each metropolitan housing market, and compared that with the monthly buying costs for a median-priced home—assuming a 7% down payment, with a mortgage rate of 7.07%, and including all fees and taxes. Only the 50 largest metropolitan areas were included in the analysis.

For those interested in digging into these numbers further, the Realtor.com "rent or buy" calculator can provide even more individualized analyses.

Here are the top 10 metros where renters will save the most money, comparing median rents with median monthly home purchase costs.

 
 

1. Austin, TX

Median monthly home purchase cost: $3,946
Median monthly rent cost: $1,670
Median monthly home purchase premium: $2,276 (136%)

Finding the Texas capital at the top of our list is no big surprise. In the metro whose motto is "Keep Austin Weird," the housing market has lived up to this axiom, with the monthly cost of purchasing a home rising by 9.2% from this time last year, but with rents dropping a whopping 8%.

This all comes in the wake of Austin's housing market explosion over the past few years, with soaring new demand pushing home prices up at a record pace.

The Austin home market has cooled, to be sure, with prices now about 2% below where they were in August 2022. But those modest price declines are nothing compared with the impact of higher mortgage rates on the average monthly payment.

2. San Francisco, CA

Median monthly home purchase cost: $5,859
Median monthly rent cost: $2,906
Median monthly home purchase premium: $2,953 (102%)

San Francisco is no stranger to a high cost of living. Home prices here have been at or near the top of the scale for a long time. But with mortgage rates at 20-year highs, the monthly cost to purchase a median-priced home here has climbed to almost $5,900.

Whereas the median rent cost is less than half of that.

"Housing affordability is a huge social and economic issue in San Francisco and the Bay Area," says Patrick Carlisle, the chief market analyst for the San Francisco Bay Area for Compass. "And there are certainly perfectly legitimate personal and economic reasons for renting."

But Carlisle is quick to warn that the difference in monthly cost is just one piece of the pie: "The decision whether to rent versus buy is much more complicated than [just] comparing median rents and home payments at a certain point in time."

The effect of overall inflation, along with home value appreciation, means that homeowners can expect the investment in their home will pay dividends for years to come.

"Over the longer term, it's called the 'forced savings effect,'" Carlisle says. "This can be a huge factor in building personal wealth. Rent is always money gone forever: It never builds into a financial asset of any kind."

3. Columbus, OH

Median monthly home purchase cost: $2,458
Median monthly rent cost: $1,222
Median monthly home purchase premium: $1,236 (101%)

Columbus is one of the few areas on our list where rents have gone up over the past year. In most of these metros, home prices have climbed and rents have dipped. But here's the twist: In Ohio's capital city, both are rising.

The cost of living in Columbus is lower than the national average—as has historically been the case for much of the Midwest—but home prices are climbing fast, compared with the rest of the country. In August, the median list price per square foot in Columbus was up almost 8% compared with the same time last year.

Columbus stands out on the list, Xu explains in her report, because it's still affordable relative to the rest of the country.

"The monthly buy-cost was well below the top-50 average," Xu writes.

4. Sacramento, CA

Median monthly home purchase cost: $3,779
Median monthly rent cost: $1,898
Median monthly home purchase premium: $1,881 (99%)

California's capital spotlights the West Coast's overall affordability challenges, where even above-average incomes aren't enough to make up for the high cost of housing.

And when it comes to home prices, Sacramento in particular has seen a significant price pump over the past year, with a 9% appreciation, putting the median home at $672,000.

Most of the rise in home values, says Steve Ostrom, a real estate agent at Coldwell Banker Realty in the Sacramento suburb of Roseville, is due to the influx of residents fleeing an even more expensive nearby metro that's also on our list: "It's the transplants coming in from the Bay Area."

Since the beginning of the pandemic, Ostrom says, people who could now work remotely, or even hybrid workers who might commute a couple of days each week, have poured into Sacramento.

"Our prices just shot up," he says.

And even though the median monthly rent price is almost half of the median monthly home purchase cost, "the rental market is tough here, too," he continues. "There's just a lot of demand all around."

5. Los Angeles, CA

Median monthly home purchase cost: $5,672
Median monthly rent cost: $2,892
Median monthly home purchase premium: $2,780 (96%)

The median home price in the Golden State's biggest metro is now a whopping $1.16 million, and the price per square foot is up 8.8% compared with the same time last year.

The L.A. area, of course, has tons to offer, from the year-round glory of its Mediterranean climate to its world-famous beaches, to the glamour of Hollywood. It's no wonder this metro has grown to almost 13 million people.

But the lack of homes to accommodate all those residents keeps prices on the rise, and coupled with elevated mortgage rates, the monthly cost to purchase a median-priced home has gone up more than $1,000 in the past year. That translates into a 23% increase in the cost of owning a home.

6. San Jose, CA

Median monthly home purchase cost: $6,581
Median monthly rent cost: $3,367
Median monthly home purchase premium: $3,214 (96%)

The San Jose metro differs from other parts of the country, for sure, but it even stands out in California.

San Jose, in the heart of Silicon Valley, is where home shoppers will find some of the highest home prices in the country—and the most expensive monthly payment of any place on our rent versus buy comparison.

To put the San Jose home prices in context, with a monthly purchase cost of almost $6,600 for a median-priced home here, a 20% down payment would be almost $300,000. To keep this home "affordable," using the rule of spending no more than 30% of income on housing, a buyer would still need an income of around $300,000 or more.

7. Portland, OR

Median monthly home purchase cost: $3,314
Median monthly rent cost: $1,709
Median monthly home purchase premium: $1,605 (94%)

This one-of-a-kind city is so amusingly funky, it even spawned an absurdist cable show about its quirks and kinks. Its lush landscapes, ample outdoor culture, and eco-friendly ethos have drawn like-minded people to "The City of Roses" for decades.

But it's also quite expensive, with a median home price of $638,000, about 40% higher than the national median. While prices in Portland grew quickly during the pandemic, they've remained relatively stable recently, with prices up only about 1% compared with one year ago.

Nonetheless, the monthly cost to buy here is about 15% above the national average, but renting there is about 2.5% less than the U.S. average rent price.

8. Boston, MA

Median monthly home purchase cost: $5,526
Median monthly rent cost: $2,851
Median monthly home purchase premium: $2,675 (94%)

Boston is the only East Coast city to make our list of where renters save the most money compared with buying.

Renting in Beantown is about 63% more expensive than the national average. But even at that high price, renters will still save almost $2,700, compared with the monthly cost to buy a median-priced Boston-area home, now at around $844,000.The monthly home purchase cost is up almost 30%, the biggest monthly purchase cost increase of any place on our list.

9. Seattle, WA

Median monthly home purchase cost: $4,156
Median monthly rent cost: $2,168
Median monthly home purchase premium: $1,988 (92%)

Seattle, another major U.S. tech hub, has been drawing high-skilled workers over the past several decades and driving up wages to roughly 40% above the national average.

Those higher-than-average wages have helped push home prices up in this lush, sprawling metro area, where the median home price is now $815,000 and rising. The metro is seeing about a 5% appreciation in price per square foot over the past year.

Meanwhile, rents have come down almost 4% over the past year.

10. Phoenix, AZ

Median monthly home purchase cost: $3,015
Median monthly rent cost: $1,595
Median monthly home purchase premium: $1,420 (89%)

The Phoenix metro area shows significant savings for renters, following what was a feverish period of home value appreciation. Between the middle of 2019 and the price peak in the middle of 2022, home prices increased by more than 60%. Out of the 50 largest metros, only Tampa, FL, and Austin, TX, had faster price growth during that period.

Now, even as prices have declined in Phoenix over the past year, down about 6% from the price peak last summer, the monthly cost to buy there is still up by 25%, because of higher mortgage rates.

At the same time, the median monthly rent price is down about 4.5%, offering renters in the Valley of the Sun a savings of $1,400 on the median rental each month compared with the median monthly home purchase cost.

 
 

While renters will save the most money in much of the country, there are three remaining markets where buying a home will save someone money each month, compared with comparable rent prices. These places tend to be more affordable areas, but even here the savings have shrunk as they are squeezed by elevated mortgage rates.

1. Memphis, TN

Median monthly home purchase cost: $1,285
Median monthly rent cost: $1,328
Median monthly home purchase savings: $43 (-3%)

2. Pittsburgh, PA

Median monthly home purchase cost: $1,490
Median monthly rent cost: $1,529
Median monthly home purchase savings: $39 (-3%)

3. Birmingham, AL

Median monthly home purchase cost: $1,263
Median monthly rent cost: $1,269
Median monthly home purchase savings: $6 (-1%)

Learn more at realtor.com

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Oregon sets 2024 rent increase cap at 10%; city of Bend program offers rent, mortgage help

 
 

The Oregon Department of Administrative Services this week published the annual maximum rent increase allowed by statute for calendar year 2024.

The DAS Office of Economic Analysis has calculated the maximum percentage as 10%.

Following the passage of SB 608 in the 2019 legislative session and SB 611 in the 2023 legislative session, Oregon law requires DAS to calculate and post to its website, by September 30 of each year, the maximum annual rent increase percentage allowed by statute for the following calendar year.

Per statute, OEA calculates this amount as 7% plus the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, West Region (All Items), as most recently published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, or 10%, whichever is lower.

The allowable rent increase percentage for the 2024 calendar year is 10.0%. The allowable rent increase percentage for the previous year, 2023, was 14.6% if the increase was issued before July 6, or 10.0% if issued after July 6. 

DAS will calculate and post the percentage for the 2025 calendar year by Sept. 30, 2024.

Information about the maximum annual rent increase percentage, as well as the provisions of ORS 90.323 and 90.600 (statutes governing rent increases), can be found on the OEA website.  

For information on the law, please see the full text of SB 608 and SB 611 at the link below. DAS does not provide legal advice regarding other provisions of SB 608 and SB 611.

Links: 

Meanwhile, NeighborImpact announced Tuesday it has a new program that can help Bend residents who are struggling to pay their rent or mortgage.

The City of Bend Housing Assistance Program can make rent and mortgage payments for households with income at or below 80 percent of the area median income. Program participants also receive access to financial mentoring via an online workshop on managing housing expenses as well as one-on-one coaching with a financial counselor.

Funding for the program comes from City of Bend and includes $90,000 toward housing payments. Income limits vary by household size, see below for details. Qualified applicants must live within Bend City limits and live in the home as their primary residence.

To apply, visit www.neighborimpact.org/bha or pick up an application at NeighborImpact’s Bend Office. Applications will be reviewed on a first-come, first-served basis when complete with all necessary supporting documents.

About NeighborImpact: NeighborImpact is a private non-profit governed by a board of directors drawn from across the community. Since 1985, NeighborImpact has led the region in developing solutions and bringing resources to Crook, Deschutes and Jefferson counties and the Confederated Tribes of Warm Springs. We help meet the basic needs of Central Oregonians, build economic security and create a community where everyone thrives. NeighborImpact receives federal, state and local grants, foundation grants and donations from individuals and businesses in our community. To learn more about NeighborImpact please visit www.neighborimpact.org. 

Learn more at ktvz.com

If there is a home that you would like more information about, if you are considering selling a property, or if you have questions about the housing market in your neighborhood, please reach out. We’re here to help.

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Denver is Among the Metros That Saw the Highest Increase in Rent Over the Last Decade

 
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A recent report from Zillow calculates how the price of rent has increased in the past 10 years for 50 large metropolitan areas in the U.S.

In the Denver market, the cost topped $50.7 billion and since 2010 renting has climbed by 88.2%.

Overall, Austin, Texas, Raleigh, North Carolina, and Denver had the largest rent increases in the 2010s, while Memphis, Tennessee, New Orleans and Virginia Beach, Virginia, had the smallest increases.

Nationwide, renters spent a combined $4.5 trillion during the 2010s with $512 billion being spent on rent in 2019. While rent is up 2.3% from last year, rent increases slowed in the latter part of the decade, Zillow (Nasdaq: ZG) said.

"While the total amount of rent paid has increased each year this decade, that trend is by no means immutable," Zillow Group Economist Joshua Clark said in a statement. "With rental appreciation expected to decrease in the coming year and a homeownership rate that has been ticking up over the past few years, a small or even negative change in total rental spending could be in the cards in the early 2020s."

To read more + see how Colorado compares to the other top metros, visit the Denver Business Journal.

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